TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x064a…245d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$781.89
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$286
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$202.95
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$135.3
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$133.2
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33.64
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$123.21
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$232.17
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$143.39
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+54.2%+$131.3
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$31.35
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$234.99
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$77.7
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+55%+$71.01
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+77%+$84.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+45.1%+$31.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$177.6
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$213.12
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,435.15
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,522.93
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53.64
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$541.8
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$270.84
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$160.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$83.36
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$172.78
Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$133.2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.9%+$66.3
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.4%+$101.66
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+34.6%+$437.62
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+41.6%+$436.08
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.32
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+96.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.8
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$4,739.3
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$3,770
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$42.49
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+614.3%+$134.88
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$93.24
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+39.1%+$96.34
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+89.3%+$174.18
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$369.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$24.87
ASB Classic, Qualification: Laura Pigossi vs Lilli Taggerbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$186
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54%+$296.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,359.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.