TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under55c67,109$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,109.364566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c38,526$17,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,226.593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c10,484$4,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.4152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over46c9,591$4,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,411.852839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Under54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.261361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c6,309$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.379350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over45c4,890$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.243740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Over60c4,621$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c4,034$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.231,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under54c3,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under54c2,341$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under53c1,870$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8702365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over46c1,822$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.7122947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe99a…918fbacked Under73c1,394$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c1,256$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.533357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over44c1,127$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under51c942.87$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over44c867.57$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Under59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c799.19$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6211848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c778$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.19652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over48c744.54$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.694656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over47c738.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over43c718.77$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.2996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under52c708.31$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under67c675.76$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over46c630$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over48c530$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over49c500.51$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.257254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under53c499.98$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.991675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5a…4a26backed Over63c478.75$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over33c445.13$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.28863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1728242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18418459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under54c392.96$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over44c358.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1514936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over48c309$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.321127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under52c299.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9912540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c289.58$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13913142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1680…3ac0backed Over48c247.69$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c245$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.415847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c235.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under52c208.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under53c178.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.981947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over49c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8611856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under48c176.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0815045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6911448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under51c146.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.029456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over48c143.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.042030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over55c139.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7424849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under57c134.84$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.994146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Over63c133.17$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Under52c125.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under46c125$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.856050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under52c124.61$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.812748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under62c120.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.978854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.213650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.212350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c116$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c114.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.212055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over48c110.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5315648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Over61c108.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.151952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over45c107.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.384136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Under56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.142646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4916842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e8…5b74backed Under53c95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Over45c85.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.33911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4964…dc70backed Over59c78.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c77.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over45c75.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0611144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under54c73.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.892236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Under53c73.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under52c72.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over42c66.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.83542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.