Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x608fdfa8ad2c865a7171d3c53abd3950c9598d8e7570418f207b46a252a41953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 55c | 67,109$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,109.36 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 38,526$17,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,226.5 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 10,484$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.41 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 46c | 9,591$4,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Under | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 6,309$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.37 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 45c | 4,890$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Over | 60c | 4,621$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 4,034$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.23 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 54c | 2,341$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 1,822$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.71 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Under | 73c | 1,394$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 1,256$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 44c | 1,127$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 51c | 942.87$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 867.57$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.84 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Under | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 799.19$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.62 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 48c | 744.54$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.69 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 47c | 738.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 718.77$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.29 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Under | 52c | 708.31$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 675.76$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 46c | 630$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 48c | 530$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 500.51$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.25 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Over | 63c | 478.75$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 33c | 445.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 54c | 392.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 358.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 48c | 309$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 289.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…3ac0backed Over | 48c | 247.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 245$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 64c | 235.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 53c | 178.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 49c | 178$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 176.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 51c | 146.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 48c | 143.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 55c | 139.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 134.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Over | 63c | 133.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Under | 52c | 125.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 46c | 125$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 52c | 124.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 116$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 114.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Over | 61c | 108.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 45c | 107.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Under | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…5a09backed Over | 45c | 85.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…dc70backed Over | 59c | 78.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 77.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 45c | 75.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 54c | 73.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Under | 53c | 73.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 52c | 72.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 42c | 66.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.