TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5ee…6899

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.26
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Laura Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Australian Open Men's: Valentin Royer vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.01
Australian Open Men's: Elias Ymer vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.3%+$5.34
Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Baibacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+102%+$17.94
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Flavio Cobollibacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+192.5%+$88.49
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kublerbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.32
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
Australian Open Women's: Zeynep Sonmez vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.3%+$11.03
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36.76
Australian Open Men's: Dino Prizmic vs Gustavo Heidebacked Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Australian Open Women's: Tahlia Kokkinis vs Anouk Koevermansbacked Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.16
Australian Open Men's: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+43.9%+$7.1
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+248.4%+$26.42
Australian Open Women's: Rebeka Masarova vs Alina Charaevabacked Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+91.3%+$9.64
Australian Open Women's: Sloane Stephens vs Barbora Palicovabacked Palicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.46
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.75
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$56.61
ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.32
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+87.9%+$104.09
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$172.83
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.77
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+83.5%+$31.5
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+60.9%+$19.31
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.54
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.12
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.07
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$29.04
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$60.09
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.41
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+79.1%+$23.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.12
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.54
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.5
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.61
Will CF América win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+222.6%+$35.28
CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.8%+$6
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.81
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.1%+$5.18
Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$10.91
CF Pachuca vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28%+$4.15
Will Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+101.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-4.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+80.1%+$8.55
Seattle Redhawks vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+57.3%+$26.99
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+55.9%+$37.32
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$25.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Hertha BSC vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$30.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.4%+$3.1
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$134.39
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.