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Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No54c33,028$17,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,979.077,96645.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L+9.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c15,131$5,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,744.542,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c8,767$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,608.712,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes48c8,353$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.868257.3%47 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1809…0d24backed Yes32c6,044$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+98%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes63c5,805$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.552646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.9637641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c0…6660backed No1c4,928$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.43100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Yes38c4,799$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.524856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524b…49acbacked Yes55c4,742$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No55c4,618$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.3883440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed Yes34c4,011$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.971861.1%11 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+67.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Yes63c3,844$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.761861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes63c3,688$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.8139637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No37c3,681$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.361,16560.4%704 W · 461 L+67.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes79c2,200$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4723548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c1,927$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.012,36646.8%1,108 W · 1,258 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Yes63c1,790$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c1,743$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.495,67742%2,382 W · 3,295 L+74.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c1,737$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.3229742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb939…81b8backed Yes67c1,732$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.57944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca94…838fbacked Yes37c1,676$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.632650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.333060.9%201 W · 129 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Yes64c1,569$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.523050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a71…49bcbacked Yes65c1,531$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa971…e347backed Yes33c1,505$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.48425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes42c1,298$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.7921256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No37c1,290$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.51,15753.1%614 W · 543 L+43.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No26c1,253$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.2612319.5%24 W · 99 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes40c1,237$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.0214137.6%53 W · 88 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes31c1,223$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.47728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67237149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No1c1,157$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes62c1,155$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.841369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No38c1,116$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.5867050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef1…9368backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3702100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3708844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes53c937.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.57142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No22c890.28$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9685340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No43c862.64$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.1518143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…c5bfbacked Yes63c843.65$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes25c825.05$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.797160.6%43 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28814542.8%62 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Yes45c800$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.95560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes25c799.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.862343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece2…0c61backed Yes51c791$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.382748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes62c768.75$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.59070%63 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No37c734.5$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.776453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes24c712.71$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.512955.2%16 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+58.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked Yes66c705.79$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.46922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x915b…77b7backed Yes22c699.59$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes63c691.81$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.071650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No17c655.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.262623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb429…66b4backed Yes32c645$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes65c637.82$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.921650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes62c633.48$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.487951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Yes62c632.5$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No36c617.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.47042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No37c610.35$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.241,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes37c600.5$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.638558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe307…5644backed Yes50c600.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1326…2803backed Yes59c587.11$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.112055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes35c572.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.995451.9%28 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes62c565$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.723256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Yes39c562.29$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.971921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No34c557.86$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.236142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes54c556.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.394153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked No16c555.54$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.583129%9 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes42c550.57$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.57887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+82.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No43c528.14$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5587760.5%531 W · 346 L+92.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4f…9023backed Yes42c519.91$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.02425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Yes61c513.57$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.973360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1908557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No32c499.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3142347.8%202 W · 221 L+1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No38c484.78$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Yes63c479.36$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.353363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b5…4d41backed Yes53c478.7$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.72142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x516a…e1b2backed Yes63c454.56$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.523021.7%50 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2d…3ec7backed Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes63c442.64$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.31,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…8b87backed Yes68c439.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb03…00fcbacked Yes69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x720b…d2cdbacked Yes24c420$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c2…68b1backed Yes33c418.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked No44c410.06$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.74119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc66f…18efbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes38c394$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.537841%32 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed No38c389.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No49c358.01$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4113426.1%35 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No37c343.9$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.831,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3363…c1b4backed Yes31c325$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+182.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes50c324.67$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6737341.6%155 W · 218 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes42c321.67$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.985362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No37c319.05$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0510854.6%59 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x075a…fb98backed Yes63c315.02$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.561650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15712552%65 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes44c298.83$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.34875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.