Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc74ab7d4cbaaf230d38521682506e5cd79db89687b3532ad94d932065c50454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Yes | 0c | 7,502$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,373$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.11 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,170$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,066$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,005$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 851.46$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 841.17$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…b3a2backed Yes | 30c | 766.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 28c | 667.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 23c | 603.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…3418backed Yes | 30c | 576.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 548$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 525.55$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 384.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 77c | 311.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 13c | 299.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Yes | 10c | 279.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 228.87$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 58c | 211.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 209.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 208.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Yes | 56c | 205.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 64c | 198$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 13c | 192.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…aee3backed Yes | 33c | 192.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 27c | 147.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…1f7dbacked Yes | 57c | 146.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 138.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes | 28c | 109.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked No | 63c | 71.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 72c | 65.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 59c | 57.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 61c | 48.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 31c | 39.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 31c | 35.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked No | 63c | 34.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 69c | 27.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.