Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba83970ced53cef633a292db270762ec4ee8902ee3c1d11f37153d26a888372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 3,497$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked No | 63c | 2,878$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,665$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,059$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.02 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,817$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Yes | 32c | 1,560$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 62c | 885$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 585.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 16c | 510.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 13c | 498.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 16c | 496$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 385.78$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…b3f4backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 10c | 326.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 248.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 18c | 199.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked No | 53c | 192.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 53c | 192.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 148.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 137.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 106$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes | 27c | 102.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 16c | 68.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 64.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 56c | 63.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 24c | 63.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed No | 62c | 60.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 78c | 55.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 50.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 45.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 55c | 39.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…4745backed No | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…e903backed No | 57c | 20.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…5f18backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.