TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0708…3b30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.94
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$103.15
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$4.63
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.1%+$28.79
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37.5%+$5.41
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.3%+$25.36
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.3%+$107.85
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+34.7%+$54.73
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.5%+$47.4
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Stars vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$19.76
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+68.8%+$16.3
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.42
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$48.84
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.3%+$27.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$6
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.66
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.98
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.46
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.75
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+70.5%+$138.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.35
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+52.2%+$138.95
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.4%+$300.12
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.1%+$381.98
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+52.4%+$587.87
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+52%+$299.63
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+134.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$73.4
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$10.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.15
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.7%+$21.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$22.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+34.9%+$73.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$72.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$262.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$591.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 9z Team vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.