Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd554be8873e619c1e7cc3284ba8a317e1e5e55d2d8121e297ee348bbac4bf6a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cerundolo | 51c | 67,408$34,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,236.77 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Rublev | 55c | 38,376$21,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,218.75 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Rublev | 56c | 35,702$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo | 62c | 31,144$19,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,721.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rublev | 1c | 30,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Cerundolo | 45c | 25,328$11,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,894.93 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Cerundolo | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rublev | 42c | 17,118$7,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,215.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cerundolo | 44c | 15,000$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,350 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Rublev | 44c | 14,699$6,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.61 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rublev | 42c | 13,211$5,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.87 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Rublev | 55c | 13,143$7,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,228.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Cerundolo | 45c | 12,000$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,659.96 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…07f5backed Rublev | 0c | 10,170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Rublev | 55c | 10,000$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,471.73 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Cerundolo | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Rublev | 1c | 9,281$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rublev | 40c | 9,005$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.47 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cerundolo | 45c | 8,858$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.16 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Cerundolo | 44c | 8,235$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cerundolo | 53c | 7,924$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Rublev | 1c | 7,842$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rublev | 54c | 7,113$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.76 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Rublev | 55c | 6,914$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.51 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cerundolo | 67c | 6,552$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Cerundolo | 43c | 6,214$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.19 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Rublev | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Rublev | 53c | 6,000$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.09 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cerundolo | 44c | 5,875$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.67 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cerundolo | 46c | 5,711$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.56 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rublev | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Rublev | 57c | 5,496$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.47 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rublev | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Rublev | 54c | 4,909$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cerundolo | 45c | 4,790$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.64 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Cerundolo | 44c | 4,460$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.86 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cerundolo | 58c | 4,374$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.23 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Rublev | 44c | 4,346$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.61 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Rublev | 46c | 4,267$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Cerundolo | 51c | 4,198$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.7 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cerundolo | 45c | 3,770$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.45 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rublev | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Rublev | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.99 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Cerundolo | 44c | 3,588$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.06 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Rublev | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Rublev | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Rublev | 48c | 3,500$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Cerundolo | 46c | 3,458$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.66 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Rublev | 37c | 3,168$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Rublev | 49c | 3,152$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.03 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Rublev | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Cerundolo | 50c | 2,984$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.36 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Rublev | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cerundolo | 44c | 2,843$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.73 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Rublev | 55c | 2,818$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Rublev | 38c | 2,787$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cerundolo | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…1531backed Cerundolo | 44c | 2,664$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Cerundolo | 43c | 2,434$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.06 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Rublev | 52c | 2,300$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Rublev | 1c | 2,257$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…1130backed Rublev | 55c | 2,253$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Rublev | 56c | 2,197$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Cerundolo | 46c | 2,174$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.1 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Cerundolo | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Cerundolo | 45c | 2,098$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cerundolo | 45c | 2,000$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.67 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Cerundolo | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Rublev | 38c | 1,881$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.71 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Rublev | 49c | 1,849$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.81 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Rublev | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rublev | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…5024backed Rublev | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Rublev | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Cerundolo | 45c | 1,709$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.95 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Rublev | 39c | 1,703$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.21 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rublev | 54c | 1,677$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.2 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rublev | 30c | 1,645$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Rublev | 48c | 1,640$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.1 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rublev | 1c | 1,636$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rublev | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Cerundolo | 46c | 1,495$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.13 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rublev | 56c | 1,487$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.59 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cerundolo | 55c | 1,420$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.12 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Rublev | 1c | 1,407$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Rublev | 56c | 1,407$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.16 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cerundolo | 46c | 1,376$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Rublev | 44c | 1,367$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.79 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Cerundolo | 46c | 1,253$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.62 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Rublev | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Rublev | 55c | 1,154$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cerundolo | 42c | 1,148$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.03 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Rublev | 43c | 1,138$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.17 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Rublev | 37c | 1,090$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Rublev | 50c | 1,013$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.95 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Cerundolo | 45c | 1,011$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Rublev | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.66 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Rublev | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Rublev | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Rublev | 19c | 999.2$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevthis page
- Cerundolo vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Rublev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs RublevCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Cerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.