TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3744…3e65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST7843.6%34 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.37
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.29
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.87
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.87
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+109.4%+$35.43
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.03
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+94.9%+$31.07
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+76%+$26.77
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+231.2%+$85.41
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.87
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+34.1%+$9.39
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.56
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.19
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.14
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.84
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.26
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$69.99
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.86
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.9
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.87
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptistebacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.97
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+141%+$28.2
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.4%+$6.68
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.5%+$13.07
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+80.1%+$19.23
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+136.3%+$21.61
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,488.5%+$201.82
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+245.5%+$26.48
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$21.66
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+105.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Kansas City Roosbacked Kansas City Roos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.42
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+438.1%+$64.82
New Orleans Privateers vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.87
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.64
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+65.4%+$24.9
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.66
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+2,088.5%+$263.68
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.49
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.02
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$18
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+95.9%+$14.81
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Towson Tigers (-6.5)backed Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.62
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.87
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.19
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.29
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$13.26
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+64%+$12.8
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+36.8%+$7.37
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.77
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+57.1%+$17.02
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+90.3%+$19.61
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+64.3%+$13.97
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+98.6%+$23.84
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.61
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.7%+$17.61
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+76.7%+$21.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$24.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.2%+$11.9
Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.2%+$9.57
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.68
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+90.6%+$18.13
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.9
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.74
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+244.8%+$36.7
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$12.73
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44.89
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.69
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+191.3%+$65.68
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.47
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+101.3%+$11.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+376.2%+$57.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick11cpaid-43.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or below on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.41
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+319.8%+$32.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+102%+$10.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-58.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$18.73
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+80.5%+$14.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.