NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf087a9589210f28404d7c8a3bd2229027a550619d68f96cfcef63ddfdc2e48c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $799,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Kings | 33c | 267,847$88,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,328.95 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kraken | 39c | 209,951$81,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,433.69 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 67c | 172,255$115,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,844.15 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 61c | 126,855$77,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,381.78 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 38c | 90,161$34,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,505.71 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 67c | 66,269$44,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,608.11 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 61c | 59,994$36,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,598.74 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kings | 61c | 17,000$10,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,370 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 61c | 14,419$8,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,839.95 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Kraken | 47c | 13,812$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,275.56 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kings | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,930 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Kings | 62c | 11,641$7,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,188 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kraken | 39c | 11,341$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 62c | 11,220$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.4 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings | 61c | 10,705$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,522.76 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Kings | 61c | 10,217$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.63 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Kraken | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 7c | 8,705$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings | 62c | 7,627$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.84 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken | 69c | 7,431$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.66 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 36c | 6,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 63c | 6,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Kings | 31c | 5,438$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.89 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kings | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kings | 64c | 4,805$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.12 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken | 38c | 4,710$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.69 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 45c | 4,556$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 37c | 3,697$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.88 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kings | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 63c | 3,271$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.18 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Kings | 8c | 3,109$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 70c | 2,879$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.22 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kings | 38c | 2,864$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.57 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 50c | 2,728$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 51c | 2,676$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Kraken | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.04 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Kings | 40c | 2,399$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.66 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 40c | 2,293$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.74 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kings | 62c | 2,286$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.98 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 36c | 2,142$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.19 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Kraken | 76c | 2,139$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 61c | 2,050$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.49 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Kings | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 61c | 1,892$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.41 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Kings | 63c | 1,883$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.29 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 63c | 1,876$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 62c | 1,866$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.48 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 62c | 1,784$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.6 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kings | 61c | 1,722$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.64 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Kings | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Kraken | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 61c | 1,600$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.92 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 36c | 1,586$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.16 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 1c | 1,580$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 30c | 1,550$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Kraken | 58c | 1,491$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kraken | 51c | 1,488$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.43 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x943e…9f08backed Kings | 63c | 1,325$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings | 63c | 1,325$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kraken | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kraken | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kraken | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked Kraken | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Kraken | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 61c | 1,241$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.29 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…8275backed Kraken | 69c | 1,148$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 31c | 1,141$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,129$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.09 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kraken | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 29c | 1,111$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 4c | 1,102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Kings | 61c | 1,078$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.63 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Kraken | 71c | 1,061$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.7 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kraken | 67c | 1,038$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.54 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.1 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Kraken | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kings | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kraken | 50c | 984.83$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.13 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Kings | 61c | 899.84$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.91 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…3114backed Kraken | 68c | 871.54$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Kraken | 38c | 819.26$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed Kraken | 38c | 815.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Kings | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Kraken | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…b5cbbacked Kings | 32c | 790.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Kraken | 71c | 782$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Kings | 28c | 747.09$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Kings | 9c | 744.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 28c | 615$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.35 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken | 52c | 602.71$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Kings | 70c | 600$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…1595backed Kings | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Kings | 62c | 599.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Kings | 49c | 598.83$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.43 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Kraken | 78c | 583.16$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Kingsthis page
- Kraken vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.