TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2057…0629

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.66
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.87
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$59.73
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.69
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$42.4
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$17.24
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.76
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.55
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.26
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$356
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$754
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$203.81
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$243
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$437
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$157
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$136.57
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$138.39
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$106.88
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$78.09
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$76.92
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$77
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$445
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$585
Lightning vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$201.53
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$580
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$409
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$505.79
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$277
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$91.41
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$285.25
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.08
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64.94
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$321
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$238.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$110.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.