TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Pelicans, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$686,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$661,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55a1…db28backed Pelicans22c86,325$18,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,762.85541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pelicans21c71,000$15,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,109.9851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks79c46,601$36,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,786.211,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Pelicans23c44,196$10,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0548037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks78c28,919$22,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,381.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks79c27,092$21,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,721.492,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pelicans5c26,998$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32016325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hawks78c25,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c0…4c42backed Hawks78c19,231$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hawks78c18,309$14,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.5259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans0c17,600$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.25213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks78c17,322$13,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825.313,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Pelicans23c16,128$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.3628439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pelicans18c12,016$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.7638434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans21c11,500$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks78c10,240$7,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.881,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans24c10,019$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.331,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pelicans22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Pelicans22c9,057$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.0721538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans21c8,398$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Pelicans1c8,170$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6238239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans22c8,000$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7301,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans14c7,485$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.551,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks77c7,270$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.012,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Pelicans21c6,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.111244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Hawks79c6,500$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.9814055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c6,017$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.168820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans0c5,908$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.721,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pelicans22c5,555$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.0936741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pelicans17c5,340$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Pelicans21c4,952$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06433735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed Hawks78c4,900$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks78c4,707$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.472,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hawks79c4,611$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.3748347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks79c4,482$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.221,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Hawks78c4,468$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.9430845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Hawks78c4,244$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.6814663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Pelicans15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60039744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6713…73dabacked Hawks78c3,840$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.291457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hawks79c3,815$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.562,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hawks78c3,750$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.5848944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks77c3,707$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.551,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans0c3,622$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Pelicans20c3,600$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Hawks79c3,534$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.184654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e8…ca0bbacked Pelicans10c3,455$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0714136.9%52 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pelicans21c3,333$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Hawks79c3,225$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.2132051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hawks79c2,861$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.7647856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pelicans22c2,688$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hawks73c2,659$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.6439349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pelicans26c2,639$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0528742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pelicans21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52538649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hawks78c2,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hawks78c2,500$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5432,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans21c2,477$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.312,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Hawks79c2,456$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7620355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Hawks73c2,186$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.2461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Pelicans21c2,136$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.6139958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Hawks79c2,039$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.2425554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…266fbacked Pelicans21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206561.5%40 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Pelicans21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Pelicans21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pelicans1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans6c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks79c1,925$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pelicans19c1,787$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8234227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks78c1,763$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks76c1,715$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.012,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans8c1,604$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.31,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Hawks77c1,565$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8830157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Pelicans5c1,554$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.421034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans1c1,467$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.028783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd340…dc9cbacked Pelicans22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Pelicans22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020728.5%59 W · 148 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Hawks79c1,340$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.431455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hawks73c1,339$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5395651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed Hawks78c1,314$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.1814855.4%82 W · 66 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks79c1,310$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.11,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb8…76b4backed Hawks79c1,297$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.473452.9%18 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Pelicans22c1,263$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8238148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks78c1,253$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.72,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719b…80f2backed Pelicans13c1,115$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.073826.3%10 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Pelicans23c1,104$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans21c1,080$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e1…a5eebacked Pelicans21c1,048$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207554.7%41 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Pelicans22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22040243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787e…adfdbacked Hawks80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004269%29 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcab9…675bbacked Hawks79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x864f…025bbacked Hawks79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6e…9535backed Pelicans21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb986…d032backed Hawks78c990.28$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.863554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pelicans12c980$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.150241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d6…0e79backed Pelicans21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013259.1%78 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks77c909$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.