NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56af50d69d8c37852b26813b0b6c7d4a7a10ce1d8858d6f340e20e8578cebe2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 3,822$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 45c | 1,085$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.3 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 51c | 522$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.78 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 44c | 514.8$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 56c | 365.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Under | 56c | 356.04$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 51c | 347$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 281.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 167.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 154.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 42.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5this page
- Pelicans vs. HawksHawks won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.