NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9749e1f6aeca32d623ac93ae9b2a065a4fb2acd007a00cb3cf44ae0eab52a733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Over | 63c | 16,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 37c | 13,514$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,514.1 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 2,423$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 1,592$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…42a3backed Over | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…6313backed Under | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 46c | 302.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 268.48$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Under | 37c | 241.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 213$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 210.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 52c | 192.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 60c | 191.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 174.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 24c | 170$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 57c | 161.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 141.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 15c | 128.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 125.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…1f8fbacked Under | 43c | 116.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Over | 64c | 77.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 41c | 48.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Over | 64c | 46.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 60c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 61c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 51c | 36.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 61c | 29.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 37c | 27.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 51c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked Over | 77c | 14.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5this page
- Pelicans vs. HawksHawks won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.