NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3ab629a79d2515beef5dd57ac44ec328a6a28969642063547d04b2eee15bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans | 49c | 7,882$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.33 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 51c | 5,576$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.72 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 50c | 5,039$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 50c | 4,563$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.63 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 4,388$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 49c | 3,899$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans | 47c | 2,000$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.47 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,929$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Hawks | 53c | 1,847$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.09 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,811$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,698$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,674$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Hawks | 49c | 1,419$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Pelicans | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Pelicans | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Pelicans | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans | 45c | 502$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.38 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hawks | 51c | 421$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.29 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Pelicans | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Hawks | 65c | 320.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 49c | 267.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Hawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 34c | 155.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Hawks | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 62c | 111.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Pelicans | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Pelicans | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Hawks | 48c | 72.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 66.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pelicans | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Hawks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Hawks | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…4516backed Pelicans | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 46.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pelicans | 51c | 41.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Pelicans | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Pelicans | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hawks | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 52c | 32.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Pelicans | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 49c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…55b8backed Hawks | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Pelicans | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Pelicans | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Pelicans | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. HawksHawks won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 247.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.