TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb871…9f15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
962
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT59144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 591 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.11
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.68
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.99
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$147.99
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$72.6
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.69
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.57
Showing 25 of 591 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST7533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+151.6%+$29.95
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$114.99
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$143.98
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$125
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$84
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$125
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+174.2%+$508.21
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST7042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$56.6
UNCG Spartans vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$74.34
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Spread: Washington Huskies (-4.5)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-16.5)backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80.73
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$76.5
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-4.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$80
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$67.5
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$82.5
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
James Madison Dukes vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked James Madison Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$88
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$117.5
Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$83.2
Spread: Furman Paladins (-1.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$84.8
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$66.09
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72.8
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$58.5
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-8.5)backed Northern Illinois Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$67.2
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$57.2
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST5437%20 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64.5
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$91.5
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.5
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$76.5
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$58.5
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Capitals vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$135
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$373
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$225
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$171
Miami vs. Ole Miss: 1H Moneylinebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$82.5
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$259.99
Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 56.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$196
Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+113.3%+$265.61
Spread: Texas (-4.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$228
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$228
Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+90.4%+$72.57
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+83.2%+$386
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+91.4%+$257
Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)backed Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$245
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$285
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$230
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$371.24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+68.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$168.75
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$142.5
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$142.5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156%+$651.81
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.53
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$157.5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$106.5
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$188.99
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+477.6%+$661.5
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+120.1%+$63.39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$450
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$145
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.55
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$92.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+174%+$126.99
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$104.19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+609.2%+$214.75
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$57.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$79.78
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$163.3
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$208.48
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+233.3%+$420
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$130
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+163.2%+$93
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+316.7%+$111.17
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$117.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$217
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+157.2%+$241.95
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$141
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+162.1%+$402
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kecmanovic vs. Atmane: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$79.45
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$120
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$257.15
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.5
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+251.5%+$429.3
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$85.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.26
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$103.86
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.2
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$162.5
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,341.99
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$156
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+98%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+122%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$159.24
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$72
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$102
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$175
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$135
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.