NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29824ba8d5fa977b41a8e96d76a00736bdb35d4922c47bdda2f98f9994b9fa46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Kings, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $856,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $955,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 737 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Kings | 47c | 157,132$73,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,419.93 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 46c | 149,523$68,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,951.34 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 54c | 132,788$71,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,414.81 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 46c | 107,269$49,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,255.23 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 54c | 85,000$45,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,449.98 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sabres | 53c | 74,768$39,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,439.87 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Kings | 47c | 30,470$14,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,320.83 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Sabres | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 53c | 21,659$11,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,133.68 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 52c | 17,500$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400.01 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 52c | 17,500$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Sabres | 53c | 16,528$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,824.78 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Sabres | 54c | 15,000$8,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.96 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Kings | 47c | 10,620$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Sabres | 54c | 10,000$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 55c | 9,522$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.88 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Sabres | 53c | 9,450$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sabres | 54c | 8,371$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.67 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 52c | 8,149$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.97 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Sabres | 53c | 7,830$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.19 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 53c | 7,695$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.74 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 47c | 7,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 59c | 6,711$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.78 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.79 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sabres | 66c | 6,283$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.33 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 53c | 4,843$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.12 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 46c | 4,219$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.96 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kings | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 53c | 3,781$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.13 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Kings | 47c | 3,617$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres | 67c | 3,289$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.4 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Sabres | 54c | 3,182$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.65 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 52c | 3,076$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.48 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Kings | 47c | 2,632$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.01 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Kings | 7c | 2,632$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Sabres | 53c | 2,298$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.11 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 55c | 2,079$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.53 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 54c | 1,955$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.89 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Sabres | 53c | 1,918$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.53 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Kings | 45c | 1,892$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.57 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…e1c2backed Sabres | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sabres | 55c | 1,750$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Kings | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Sabres | 55c | 1,564$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.64 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Sabres | 54c | 1,500$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Kings | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.01 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 22c | 1,291$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Sabres | 54c | 1,271$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.33 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Kings | 9c | 1,249$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 52c | 1,216$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Kings | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 46c | 1,193$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.7 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sabres | 74c | 1,110$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Kings | 47c | 1,058$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…2f66backed Kings | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Sabres | 53c | 1,018$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.53 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sabres | 70c | 1,001$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Sabres | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Kings | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 42c | 937.76$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.97 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 44c | 930.48$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.41 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Sabres | 56c | 901.79$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Sabres | 53c | 886$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Kings | 38c | 867.4$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.12 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 5c | 853.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Kings | 45c | 850.01$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.52 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Sabres | 53c | 827.87$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…2866backed Kings | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…d56cbacked Kings | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…46cfbacked Sabres | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc7…6c2cbacked Sabres | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…955fbacked Kings | 45c | 795$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…c487backed Sabres | 55c | 795$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…e71bbacked Sabres | 55c | 790$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…5e85backed Kings | 45c | 790$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acc…53d0backed Sabres | 55c | 785$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…bb07backed Sabres | 55c | 785$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…3aebbacked Kings | 45c | 785$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…4b00backed Kings | 45c | 785$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…65afbacked Kings | 45c | 780$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…0adebacked Sabres | 55c | 780$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cf…e702backed Sabres | 55c | 780$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…3380backed Kings | 45c | 780$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…6189backed Sabres | 55c | 775$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…2846backed Kings | 45c | 775$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…b3efbacked Sabres | 55c | 775$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…7f7dbacked Sabres | 55c | 775$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…753ebacked Kings | 45c | 775$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc188…b8a7backed Kings | 45c | 775$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…8470backed Kings | 45c | 765$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…9212backed Sabres | 55c | 765$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…bda8backed Kings | 45c | 755$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…9a7abacked Kings | 45c | 755$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…ca55backed Sabres | 55c | 755$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Sabresthis page
- Kings vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.