NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f5077ac73bda981fd8713db59e62d0041078b057a2c8f1d676dd1b488f2d848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 23,500$12,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,109.96 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 17,586$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,325.62 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 17,140$9,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,084.25 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 53c | 15,654$8,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,237.53 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 12,061$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.31 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 53c | 6,624$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 5,568$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.39 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 4,157$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.91 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 4,057$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.52 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 2,609$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.42 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,278$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.06 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 2,196$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,595$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.87 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,244$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.17 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 918.72$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.92 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 34c | 594.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.66 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 47c | 528.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Over | 69c | 492.41$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.71 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 469.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 53c | 428.08$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.88 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 384.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 63c | 373.61$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.37 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 59c | 339.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 229.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 225.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 47c | 123.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 45c | 119.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 112.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Under | 26c | 111.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 89.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 48c | 87.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 51c | 85.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 82.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 62c | 63.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 54c | 62.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 52c | 59.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 52c | 57.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 50c | 47.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 44c | 44.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…a982backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked Over | 52c | 37.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Over | 53c | 35.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 35.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…3fa9backed Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 32.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…375cbacked Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 47c | 29.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 48c | 28.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 48c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 48c | 26.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 47c | 26.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. SabresSabres won
- Kings vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.