TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x583b…9249

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+106.6%+$12.9
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Nets vs. Nuggets: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.96
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$92
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.96
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$38.4
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Kings vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Penguins vs. Flamesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Rangers vs. Bluesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+73.2%+$16.9
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.15
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+119.8%+$43.6
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Longwood Lancers vs. USC Upstate Spartansbacked Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Richmond Spiders vs. VCU Rams: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-14.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$498
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$6.58
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.94
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$11.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$65.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$161.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.