TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnersof Sinners, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$404,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$417,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked fnatic46c120,089$55,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,222.2139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sinners54c115,887$62,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,625.6121051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Sinners60c65,000$38,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,149.9310551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed fnatic40c64,677$25,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,791.8781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed Sinners59c45,822$27,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,778.733961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed fnatic43c14,951$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,360.0919645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked fnatic28c11,954$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.871,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked fnatic42c11,788$4,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked fnatic41c7,676$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.3242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed Sinners71c5,882$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.083839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed fnatic41c5,797$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.8524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked fnatic40c5,400$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.9120539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Sinners72c5,396$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.9711252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked fnatic26c5,066$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.5532930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed fnatic38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed fnatic41c4,868$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.9917240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Sinners75c4,773$3,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.6664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x907c…85c8backed Sinners62c4,750$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked fnatic41c4,743$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.6626351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Sinners66c4,655$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.522,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c7…aa6ebacked fnatic42c4,533$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sinners66c4,462$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.011,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ec…511dbacked Sinners62c4,310$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Sinners59c4,250$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.57940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked fnatic41c3,970$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.094546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Sinners55c3,607$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.144548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Sinners59c3,312$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36112449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Sinners74c3,141$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.4297952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sinners70c3,132$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.491,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sinners72c2,935$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.041,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed fnatic40c2,869$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Sinners59c2,830$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.535236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Sinners73c2,591$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.6126046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked fnatic40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Sinners61c2,407$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.7784658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sinners50c2,104$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05447047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed fnatic41c1,983$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.0331642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed fnatic39c1,878$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.4212742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…704abacked fnatic40c1,844$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583c…85cebacked Sinners59c1,813$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked fnatic26c1,778$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.214731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed fnatic39c1,750$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.561,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Sinners58c1,687$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Sinners61c1,628$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.3296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed fnatic35c1,600$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56192152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed fnatic42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305149%25 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Sinners58c1,490$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.793060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed fnatic27c1,373$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8746843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed fnatic39c1,356$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.6638739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed fnatic39c1,263$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5518752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Sinners61c1,222$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.5750043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7101…3fc5backed fnatic40c1,210$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e0…033abacked Sinners59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked fnatic43c1,187$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.178248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed fnatic29c1,175$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1917131%53 W · 118 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac5f…7f12backed Sinners61c1,151$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed fnatic44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed fnatic34c1,109$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.234924.5%12 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked fnatic38c1,058$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinners66c1,014$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.722,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners62c1,014$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3814,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked fnatic41c911.48$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.699941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed fnatic17c899.07$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.45650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd0…8362backed fnatic38c893$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed fnatic30c887$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e7…a700backed fnatic34c879.9$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed fnatic30c867$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6646344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Sinners59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.461250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Sinners60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3311343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…bf60backed fnatic25c809.23$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.771915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e0…7132backed fnatic10c800$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821020%2 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked fnatic24c799.95$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.997236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21f…9372backed Sinners60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked fnatic41c745$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4515441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked fnatic42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b3…c36cbacked fnatic41c699.96$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…5454backed fnatic41c663.31$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Sinners56c650$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28626054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb855…f990backed Sinners61c645.5$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed fnatic24c640.87$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.272,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sinners78c634.42$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.453,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sinners53c617.38$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3861737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed fnatic39c603$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1738835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Sinners59c600.13$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0515655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed Sinners58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd533…7b07backed fnatic10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed fnatic39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23444944.8%201 W · 248 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked fnatic39c598$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Sinners59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2236742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d3…5ea8backed fnatic39c584$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.763253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Sinners60c583.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.337149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Sinners71c548.35$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.371,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…382ebacked fnatic34c519.58$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.052218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf878…05c1backed fnatic12c510.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.86825%2 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+73.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners69c504.07$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.086,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Sinners59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20513545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed fnatic37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18597230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Sinners59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20516250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sinners61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked fnatic40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.