TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd73b…bf60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$158.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$241.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$350.75
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs PCIFIC (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.48
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$204.77
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Bad Luck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+137.7%+$246.56
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$163.79
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Bbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$117.06
Counter-Strike: Players vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Team Spirit win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$132.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$46.84
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$515.67
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.28
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.37
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$367.08
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.67
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.11
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+400%+$196
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+669.2%+$2,001
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$233.33
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+109.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,026.63
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$195.75
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.08
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.