TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Natus Vincere, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$623,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$696,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a58…149dbacked Natus Vincere1c26,915$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.487625%19 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x282c…0313backed Monte29c17,125$4,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,188.184100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+125.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Monte22c15,397$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,952.3660540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Natus Vincere71c13,736$9,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,759.5512648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Monte28c12,032$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,663.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+132.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere72c11,726$8,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,442.7711655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1027…966cbacked Natus Vincere0c10,968$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb343…61afbacked Natus Vincere0c10,474$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Monte29c10,000$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,115.699247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Monte15c10,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,499.8467041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Monte15c9,750$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,287.4425842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Natus Vincere28c8,900$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere63c7,906$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef4b…f8babacked Natus Vincere1c6,935$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.141040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Monte31c6,854$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,725.066100%6 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Monte51c6,294$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.93,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere19c5,855$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.282,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Monte25c5,713$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.021,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Monte59c5,162$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.151,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…bf60backed Natus Vincere0c5,162$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Natus Vincere73c5,124$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.637440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Monte29c5,013$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.5857647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Monte16c5,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2009442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0720…b1aebacked Monte16c4,813$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.08933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8f…d60ebacked Natus Vincere2c4,531$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Monte17c4,465$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.8629855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Monte13c3,846$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.818933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte32c3,822$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.964,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere72c3,799$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.1635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Monte58c3,749$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.3732930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Monte42c3,694$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.421,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte17c3,538$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.3982143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere1c3,528$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked Natus Vincere70c3,432$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.676045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Natus Vincere79c3,159$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monte36c3,159$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.5460147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Monte16c3,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07036845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Monte15c2,832$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.4411630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d2…3275backed Monte18c2,819$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18a…619cbacked Monte16c2,652$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.681250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Monte14c2,626$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.3750833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere77c2,601$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.6926461%161 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Monte66c2,531$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.681,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Monte16c2,438$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.8244743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Monte16c2,399$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.584938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe018…5f79backed Natus Vincere12c2,372$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.161145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x069d…0308backed Natus Vincere75c2,300$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.69580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere74c2,224$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.4883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed Monte51c2,128$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.461580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed Monte16c2,119$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.3519732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere39c2,119$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.5762137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Monte44c2,010$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.5722358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Natus Vincere55c2,000$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.9975545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte16c2,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.971,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd547…f7a8backed Monte18c1,913$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.572832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Monte17c1,800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4885,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Natus Vincere51c1,786$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.5511538.3%44 W · 71 L-15.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere77c1,726$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.8939468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Natus Vincere30c1,638$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2722927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere55c1,593$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.961,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Natus Vincere63c1,578$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7725751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Monte16c1,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Monte53c1,482$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.364072.5%29 W · 11 L+8.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte17c1,421$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.652,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4319…6d44backed Monte16c1,365$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte39c1,301$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.0765950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere59c1,278$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.023,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Monte20c1,274$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.777839.7%31 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a6…532abacked Natus Vincere4c1,261$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Monte36c1,255$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.449938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa597…7e14backed Natus Vincere16c1,242$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…4136backed Natus Vincere57c1,222$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.471631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b25…b5ccbacked Monte45c1,204$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.751376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Monte16c1,200$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00897230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Natus Vincere72c1,170$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.952458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e89…216bbacked Natus Vincere7c1,159$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8270%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Monte20c1,120$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.5761638.1%235 W · 381 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a2…4e3cbacked Natus Vincere1c1,086$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Monte7c1,071$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.439234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x213a…c46dbacked Natus Vincere3c1,029$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…a514backed Natus Vincere1c1,026$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf466…8013backed Natus Vincere1c1,023$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Monte40c1,007$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.5528248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Monte38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Monte15c999.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Monte42c962.6$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.614744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Natus Vincere71c936.11$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.6476546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Monte16c925$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7776437.5%24 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Natus Vincere72c911.74$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.8929235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b6…accbbacked Monte28c888.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Natus Vincere30c854.54$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25615743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Monte50c848.73$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.746746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Natus Vincere71c842.04$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.9443933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2286…3ccfbacked Natus Vincere80c817.27$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere75c808.47$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.7160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Monte19c793.74$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.345028%14 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Monte29c771.16$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.881546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b66…68b8backed Monte74c761$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.521978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecd3…4255backed Natus Vincere64c757.43$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.161625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.