CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf141af9bce794985cbb36b361cf51fb88c1aab5c4c16f22a6d0f39fd70bd6f3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Monte | 0c | 39,806$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.74 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Monte | 1c | 14,627$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Monte | 36c | 10,419$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.44 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 8,400$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 6,704$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.68 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Monte | 18c | 5,615$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.86 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,879$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.57 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Monte | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…b1bebacked Monte | 38c | 2,943$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,840$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,700$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.54 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Monte | 39c | 2,575$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,342$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.51 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Monte | 43c | 2,309$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,256$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.09 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte | 33c | 2,211$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.03 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,006$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.47 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monte | 27c | 1,523$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.66 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,400$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,288$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Monte | 17c | 1,204$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.26 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Monte | 26c | 1,102$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Monte | 27c | 1,101$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Monte | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…ab6abacked Monte | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Monte | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Monte | 35c | 978.62$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.89 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 868.83$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 850.38$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Monte | 11c | 730.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Monte | 36c | 600$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Monte | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Monte | 29c | 575$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Monte | 41c | 569.15$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 563.66$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Monte | 40c | 542.08$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 541.14$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 533.61$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.53 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Monte | 36c | 521.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 499.22$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 478.85$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 476.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte | 25c | 476.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 462.85$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Monte | 34c | 416.87$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 397$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Monte | 17c | 392.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Monte | 34c | 382.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Monte | 31c | 354.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Monte | 25c | 279.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Monte | 19c | 265.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…ced6backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 260.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Monte | 25c | 252.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…d351backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 222.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 217.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Monte | 35c | 212.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…d0f1backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Monte | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Monte | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Monte | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Monte | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Monte | 29c | 192.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…d9c6backed Monte | 23c | 181.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…82b5backed Monte | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…8346backed Monte | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Monte | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Monte | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Monte | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…5f79backed Monte | 13c | 164.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…7b89backed Monte | 42c | 162.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f533backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 139.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Monte | 24c | 138.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…8fa2backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 128$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Monte | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 123.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Monte | 32c | 110.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…6645backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 109.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Monte | 16c | 109.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…d85dbacked Monte | 36c | 108.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 106.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 104.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Monte | 29c | 102.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…e6dcbacked Monte | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Monte | 27c | 91.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Monte | 29c | 87.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Monte | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Monte | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Monte | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 70.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)Monte won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.