TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b25…b5cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,779Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$2,247.45
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,997Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.8%+$1,609.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,158.46
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.8%+$223.14
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.4%+$278.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,004.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.6%+$316.91
Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$422
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+40.9%+$245.72
Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$476
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.39
Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+59.6%+$144.83
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$150.49
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.14
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$148.14
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+103.8%+$415.08
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+123.8%+$665.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+54.9%+$301.38
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$195.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$293.31
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$258.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$337.89
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$405.76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$191.14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.5%+$354.72
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$306.45
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$783
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$295.5
1H Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$400.08
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$153.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+139.4%+$276.05
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$315
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$203.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$262.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+46.9%+$238.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Izagakhmaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$691.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.