Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192dc6cd4e8564b5f43f17c9daee5239cf6ca4baceb7f6fb7cde8741e1933bdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 43c | 6,287$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 72c | 3,623$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Over | 23c | 2,800$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 2,154$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.81 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Under | 35c | 1,731$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 1,319$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.98 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Under | 38c | 1,051$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 65c | 1,003$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Under | 35c | 999.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 35c | 942$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 66c | 913.85$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 819.32$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 44c | 718$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.34 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 67c | 671.25$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 27c | 639$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…5899backed Under | 56c | 575$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 38c | 477$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 46c | 464.17$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 33c | 454.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.75 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 50c | 447.3$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 35c | 403.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 22c | 381.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 357.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 61c | 354.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 45c | 340.29$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 37c | 321.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 50c | 312$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 66c | 304.09$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 286.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 51c | 284.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 256.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 67c | 250.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…b5e9backed Over | 64c | 236.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 35c | 228.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 65c | 224.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 36c | 200$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…81dabacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 50c | 199.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 191.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 66c | 177.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 34c | 144.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 137.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 128.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 65c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 42c | 119.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 42c | 107$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 61c | 106.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Over | 64c | 104.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 35c | 102.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 36c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 84.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…4ed9backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 34c | 66.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 58c | 65.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Under | 75c | 55.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 53.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 73c | 49.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 60c | 49.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 67c | 44.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…f83fbacked Under | 71c | 43.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 69c | 41.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b0…2554backed Over | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 40c | 34.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Over | 58c | 33.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 52c | 33.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.