TailMyPicks
Market

Bundesliga · resolved market

Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BV Borussia 09 Dortmundof BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, SV Werder Bremen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed SV Werder Bremen54c8,210$4,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,421.363,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund49c4,044$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.141353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x190a…6ae2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c3,880$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed SV Werder Bremen53c3,880$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed SV Werder Bremen56c2,180$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.5575142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked SV Werder Bremen53c1,862$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.2578248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22c…5c89backed SV Werder Bremen59c1,703$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed SV Werder Bremen51c1,617$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.393056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x430a…a940backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund39c1,558$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.111478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+84.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c1,021$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.285046%23 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed SV Werder Bremen53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.898248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund51c982.87$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.421656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c979.93$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.964100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund67c911.08$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.932,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c679$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.244143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c595.43$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.581553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund49c575.93$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.932454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.918846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c460.19$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.92536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund58c450$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18938055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked SV Werder Bremen53c381.13$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c355.56$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.56825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c339$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.676459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked SV Werder Bremen50c333.85$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.241,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3311056.4%62 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked SV Werder Bremen44c296.66$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c287.78$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.281729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund35c238.88$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.868420.2%17 W · 67 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.225236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c221.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.991947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked SV Werder Bremen43c209.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.443231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5511748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed SV Werder Bremen53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd737…d351backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c181.94$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c180.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.181770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c174.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.56959.4%41 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked SV Werder Bremen53c149.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.513142%55 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked SV Werder Bremen12c149$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.66347.6%30 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.668844.3%39 W · 49 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund57c115.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.793852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked SV Werder Bremen50c111.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.782035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.45944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund50c100.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.116451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a9…b9e9backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555054%27 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+60.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed SV Werder Bremen53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed SV Werder Bremen53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c93.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.187857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5309…1975backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund44c89.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c89.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.632450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund43c89.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.757847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked SV Werder Bremen14c84.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8345.9%2 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c79.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1913852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund42c78.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8111045.5%50 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c66.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.915450%27 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed SV Werder Bremen50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.833464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed SV Werder Bremen53c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.271127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-58.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked SV Werder Bremen56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305930.5%18 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0818840.4%76 W · 112 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund51c47.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.464946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c46…6a2abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund43c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06da…0a4abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.484440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.556526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d25…ced8backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c41.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c40.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.452070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked SV Werder Bremen25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.024040%16 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…a27cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4b2…3647backed SV Werder Bremen55c34.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked SV Werder Bremen55c34.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.611,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund48c31.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.473551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f7…5bd7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64452.3%23 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb97…d9cbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund48c29.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc955…56adbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund46c26.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.372560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bca…dcaabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund48c24.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.652871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked SV Werder Bremen56c20.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.424143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.