Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea220a78fe0d91868535fba8e22a9d567ecc96da3c73a68e855aa78c003e4a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 56c | 15,137$8,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,626.18 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 14,887$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 59c | 10,900$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,469.16 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 71c | 8,912$6,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 41c | 8,398$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.32 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 7,272$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 50c | 3,435$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 59c | 3,309$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.69 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 3,092$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.68 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 36c | 3,083$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.33 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 44c | 2,669$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.36 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Under | 63c | 1,686$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Under | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 1,148$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.34 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 1,123$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.68 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 34c | 1,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 948.51$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 40c | 573$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 17c | 541.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 16c | 519.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 21c | 426.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 41c | 405.38$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Over | 44c | 314.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Over | 23c | 300.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 290.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 36c | 264$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 43c | 232.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over | 16c | 229.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 209.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 33c | 200.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…81dabacked Over | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 39c | 194.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…9235backed Under | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 16c | 169$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 159.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…dfc7backed Over | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under | 59c | 120.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Under | 57c | 118.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 42c | 116.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 16c | 116.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 43c | 110.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 58c | 109.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Over | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…9246backed Over | 37c | 102.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 30c | 100.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…4bb6backed Under | 59c | 97.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 44c | 93.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Under | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 59c | 82.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…bfb7backed Under | 76c | 76.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 19c | 74.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 41c | 67.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 35c | 64.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 27c | 64.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 45c | 62.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 44c | 59.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 44c | 58.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 44c | 52.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 39c | 51.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…475fbacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…76bfbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 44c | 49.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…e29dbacked Over | 44c | 49.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Over | 23c | 46.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 45.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 56c | 38.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 61c | 35.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.