TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6c3…dede

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$196.85
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$164.27
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$59.23
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$354.55
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100.5
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$139
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$121.78
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.27
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$44.7
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$69.65
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+455.6%+$455.56
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.27
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$112.7
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+129.1%+$95.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Granada CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.3
Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100.21
Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$12.42
Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.39
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$127.91
Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$81.23
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$123
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+163.4%+$163.37
Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+113%+$112.96
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$83.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.