TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c15,593$7,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,585.124,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over44c13,890$6,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,736.773557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c5,215$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.9569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c3,936$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.211,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6218…f388backed Over52c3,366$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c3,287$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.713,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9330446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over72c2,357$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.961776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Under57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.782161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under27c1,270$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over52c999.82$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9423255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3522357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over59c854.54$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5411037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under57c695.08$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.362941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.936478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over44c664.25$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.4710629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over61c584.31$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8916962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under29c507.77$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2510245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6712875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over42c399.97$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9918650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Over50c372.86$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.433650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under30c342.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over72c302.4$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6719344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over50c290.06$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.063151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…423ebacked Over39c253.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over70c243.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.854367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c232.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.331,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Over37c227.24$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.49728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over73c207.86$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.865950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c206.45$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.751,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Over70c182.85$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Over70c178$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Under41c175.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.551020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over64c165.63$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.634768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…fb93backed Over61c164.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over70c161$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over60c147.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.175547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Under53c139.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.692035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Over70c135$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd283…51ecbacked Under29c134.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.111010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x671e…7d17backed Over73c133$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.911070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c122.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2924047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe513…3328backed Under55c121.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over44c113.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.238958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Over70c112$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.63240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.116243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.182045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over46c109.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.244847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over47c107$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5716865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+61.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over48c99.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.494452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under59c99.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.535752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over45c88.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2111741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Over72c88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Over58c86.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.723043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Over72c84.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Over70c83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.92740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Under36c81.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.391346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c9…9fcbbacked Under29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over35c79.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3812917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under43c68.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.177156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Over72c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e96…e9f8backed Under58c65.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9eb…8be1backed Over72c65.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over28c60.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7719544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under68c58.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Under30c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf2…26d7backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over53c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.516745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over47c47.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.075343.4%23 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Over60c46.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fd…1596backed Over72c42.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over56c41.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.312330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.682060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over51c39.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4710155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Under30c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd34…dbc3backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Under30c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over32c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.810634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Under30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Under58c34.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Under30c34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3164…85efbacked Under50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over55c31.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.114146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c28.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9812650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.784283.3%35 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90be…9e9bbacked Over44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+74.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a77…d70abacked Over47c23.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Over70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over67c22.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5710554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over71c21.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.358751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over72c21.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.033577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5513936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.