TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b6e…d361

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.44
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.83
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.78
Haiti vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
England vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.18
England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
England vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.88
Haiti vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$480
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.62
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$408.27
Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.99
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.99
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$110
Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+58.8%+$8.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.98
Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$975
Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$433.38
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+110.8%+$741.2
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+244.8%+$489.66
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$259
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$75.16
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$145
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$59.96
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$76.93
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$377.91
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+203%+$201
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50.6
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$155
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$688
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$168
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.44
Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Granada CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110.69
Granada CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Granada CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Granada CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+143.9%+$707.61
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$253
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$672
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$273.99
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$267.9
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+300%+$374.99
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$432.4
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$640
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$263.5
Will Norwich City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$175.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Club León FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$560
Club León FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.97
Club León FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Club Tijuana vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+98%+$196.08
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Atlas FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+517.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$244.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.