La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad415f849e22c701e5e558e0ee05e1dc50a08b135c1f9310718d43167ac4fa61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 5,118$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 1,354$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.09 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 1,235$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.52 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,218$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 41c | 1,199$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,072$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.66 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…81dabacked Over | 48c | 600$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 38c | 524.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 42c | 514.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 40c | 509.52$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.79 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 39c | 499.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 379.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.23 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 70c | 356.81$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 55c | 321$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 74c | 300.18$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 42c | 233.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 227.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 224.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 48c | 132.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 121.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 42c | 104.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 42c | 98.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 41c | 98.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 41c | 93.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 93.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 64c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 57c | 62.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 35c | 57.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 73c | 43.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…9764backed Under | 61c | 40.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 58c | 29.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…9e9bbacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5this page
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.