TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee8f…9f44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Bbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.43
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$11.17
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$27.28
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$18.16
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+57%+$8.39
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$17.47
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$20.03
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$96.93
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$129.05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.93
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+264.9%+$105.96
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$117.04
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$119.64
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.74
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$31.22
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.6
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.28
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$21.85
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$39.24
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+60.1%+$60.04
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+91.3%+$91.33
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+43.6%+$35.3
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.83
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$26.82
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.6
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.75
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.43
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.54
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.79
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$201.12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33.83
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.6%+$47.16
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$28.18
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+39.3%+$19.64
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$191.48
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.6%+$99.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$84.68
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$213.3
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$209.82
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$220.85
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.93
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.34
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.07
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$95.84
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$34.77
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.21
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.24
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.6
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.84
Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$519.87
Egypt vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50.05
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150.1
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$34.88
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.45
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.43
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.91
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.27
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.4
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$32.45
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$63.9
FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$104
FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+70.4%+$105.55
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$105
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.97
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$21.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.