TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,254 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under35c54,351$19,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,328.243164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c35,240$16,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,633.32,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over65c18,262$11,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,870.4752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over65c17,391$11,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,303.7538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0303324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Over65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9504040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9508251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over62c2,001$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.3620544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c1,708$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.841,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over12c1,499$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.886839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.226328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over65c1,246$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.97358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over63c1,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over65c1,030$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.933357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9269…9abfbacked Over58c890.08$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over39c805$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.75742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c799.27$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5913137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Over65c652.38$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over65c617.12$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3966949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under47c544.56$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.695538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under38c522.2$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over65c420.45$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0916251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over65c420$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27325556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over65c420$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27318459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over65c420$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27312048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26028556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over6c335.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over65c330$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over65c330$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over65c303.05$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9822947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19513152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over35c286.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2303…b9a7backed Under34c271.91$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.58948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.512253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55028%14 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x163c…2af1backed Over66c221.56$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over65c220$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14314155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13013550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13015459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over65c190$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over65c180$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1178852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over65c180$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11711655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.511154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.58148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.512453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.511454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.510952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.57746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.511953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under35c161.3$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8516448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over65c160$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…7e29backed Over29c154.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over65c146.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over39c127.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over63c126.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over57c122.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ce…b596backed Under66c116.13$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3115042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over65c92.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.