TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under65c122,721$79,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,298.053164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over35c42,720$14,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,95293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Under64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under65c16,765$10,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,870.64351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over36c15,040$5,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,414.487938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over35c13,133$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.0538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over35c8,643$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.9752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over34c8,000$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under66c7,697$5,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.9822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under66c5,999$3,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.6621058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Over35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7009952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c4,244$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.522,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over34c3,099$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.74445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over36c3,065$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0504040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0206839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0508251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over35c2,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.0545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7606046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over38c1,896$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.791650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Over35c1,791$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over35c1,688$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.0133148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over35c1,611$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.8733357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over35c1,550$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Over35c1,331$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4662133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over34c1,232$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.785538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over36c1,200$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43616251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c1,184$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.291,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over34c1,164$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.513137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Under63c999.25$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.72887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+76.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over35c914.29$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over35c895.46$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.411833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over11c800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Over35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-83.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over36c602.4$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.769826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2166949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over35c593.62$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over38c504.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.697254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over37c427.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604671.7%33 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over35c420$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14725556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over35c420$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14718459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over35c420$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14712048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Over38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over28c353.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.984235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under66c340.96$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.968757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over35c330$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over35c330$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10513152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over35c286.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.58948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.512253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over35c220$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7714155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over36c196.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7116448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over35c190$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over35c180$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over35c180$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.511154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.58148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.512453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.511454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.510952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.57746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.511953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over21c169.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over39c169.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.510252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over37c135.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.975752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over39c129.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.68744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.