TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25f6…fcd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4671.7%33 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
US Lecce vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+46.5%+$9.29
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4283.3%35 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.25
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$24.59
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$161.82
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 25 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.74
CD Nacional vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Vitória SC vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AVS Futebol vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Rio Ave FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
FC Arouca vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Moreirense FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.4%+$8.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Everton FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.