TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9dd…b525backed Over59c4,998$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.341154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c2,399$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.5437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,072$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.461,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under43c934.42$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c606.48$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.441,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under63c523$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.484839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10027244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over42c298.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.63070%21 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+63.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over54c241.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.967755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c166.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc36…3054backed Over63c158.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over75c117$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5710348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over80c76.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over73c72.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.465778.9%45 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c64.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a1…45bebacked Under25c54.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da2…375cbacked Under27c53.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf144…4dcbbacked Under27c52.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…6705backed Under25c51.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…745bbacked Under27c51.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36ec…f513backed Under27c50.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad41…a848backed Under27c49.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…5814backed Under27c47.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Under25c47.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over68c47.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.072774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548f…3516backed Under27c43.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Over37c41.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c1…29d3backed Under27c41.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf89d…09f6backed Under27c40.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbabe…76e1backed Under27c40.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8690%0 W · 9 L-5.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under58c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1235…b6cbbacked Under27c37.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf470…67fdbacked Under27c37.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cd…6307backed Under27c37.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e10…b8d4backed Over48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbf…98b6backed Over75c27.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over66c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.182334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over47c25.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+71.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over68c23.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.531323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b7…3a01backed Over75c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6096…a0d8backed Over75c19.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd73a…cdd1backed Over75c19.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a4…5e64backed Over75c19.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753f…d672backed Over75c19.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8616…56efbacked Over75c19.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb7…2806backed Over75c19.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a9…d049backed Over75c19.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6654…3087backed Over75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b79…93ccbacked Over75c18.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.69366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7f…874fbacked Over75c18.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.69475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x103d…f7eabacked Over75c18.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f6…1361backed Over75c18.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe70…33f9backed Over75c17.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…52f5backed Over75c17.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbacb…8777backed Over75c17.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc4…24b9backed Over76c17.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…6b6bbacked Over75c16.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e1…b491backed Over75c16.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.26100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c0a…0d4cbacked Over75c16.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5e…8919backed Over75c16.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4030…8b5ebacked Over75c16.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.091145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1993…2262backed Over76c16.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc89…2cd0backed Over75c16.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x669b…f1a8backed Over75c15.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64f7…21a3backed Over75c15.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a30…358abacked Over75c15.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.83955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c46…fcd6backed Over75c15.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df0…de29backed Over75c15.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8304…c51fbacked Over75c14.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528d…701ebacked Over75c14.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-77.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x905c…811fbacked Over75c14.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…af09backed Over75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x030b…4035backed Over75c13.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b2…d48bbacked Over75c13.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.441353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8cb…1dc1backed Over75c13.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc483…0c27backed Over75c13.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f65…3d9bbacked Over76c13.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7d…2353backed Over75c13.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.