Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212330e4b4dda58c5b23979fc5210ffe2349d4ea676f310e474048660a13e174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Club de Lensof Racing Club de Lens, Toulouse FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toulouse FC | 79c | 2,266$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.49 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Racing Club de Lens | 14c | 1,649$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.23 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Racing Club de Lens | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Toulouse FC | 75c | 1,355$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.36 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 16c | 807.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +520.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Toulouse FC | 74c | 730.77$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.77 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 26c | 696.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Toulouse FC | 67c | 496$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Racing Club de Lens | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Racing Club de Lens | 15c | 257.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Racing Club de Lens | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Racing Club de Lens | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Racing Club de Lens | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 26c | 75.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Racing Club de Lens | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Racing Club de Lens | 38c | 37.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Toulouse FC | 59c | 35.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Toulouse FC | 59c | 20.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Toulouse FC | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)this page
- Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.