TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88ff…fa1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 62 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+55%+$91.67
Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.24
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.7%+$182.12
Will Trump say "Rwanda" or "Congo" 12+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+138.1%+$57.99
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$122.43
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$58.02
Will Trump say "Trump" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.43
Will Trump say "Erdogan" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.96
Will Trump say "Transgender" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.68
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$96.05
Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$46.54
Will Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.29
Will Trump say "Skedaddle" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$104.4
Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$51.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+71.7%+$307.47
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$26.84
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$57.4
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46.58
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$129.04
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Trump and Zelenskyy only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$386.16
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+112.6%+$234.5
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+213%+$411.81
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+156.7%+$229.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Team to Advancebacked Aarhus GF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.86
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$144.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$66
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$35.7
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$104.4
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+150.6%+$60.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$33.22
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Next mayor" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+172.2%+$170.8
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+138%+$241.07
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.96
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$48.75
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$38.26
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.6%+$144.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.12
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$105
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42.12
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$53.94
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$49.68
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-75.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.9
Will Powell say "Signal" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$73.46
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.8
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$768.8
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$365.64
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.64
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$197.65
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$290.4
Six Kings Slam: Sinner vs Stefanosbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+335.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$54.48
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+520.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+520.2%+$677.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+134.6%+$66.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$102.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.