TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Greece win on 2025-11-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0aa3…64e9backed No28c51,072$14,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,873.691822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes72c40,000$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,80027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes27c7,099$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.022020%4 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes74c5,364$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,988.9674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c5,046$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.2576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes74c2,691$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No36c2,509$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.571560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c1,392$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.61,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes71c1,113$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No27c958.78$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9112525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes68c951.81$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503959%23 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes72c935$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.29643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No27c925.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.937135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No25c919.46$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.8423622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c884.93$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No27c772$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.563935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes44c700$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No26c677$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.9811444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes62c641.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes73c634.2$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.9717048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…e326backed Yes29c540.48$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1f…1224backed Yes50c503.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37010033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3659324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37021016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No36c491.36$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes76c455.67$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.41119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-88.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes74c455.67$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.28960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes73c308$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8430031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No42c302.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.531650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No26c299.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9910550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes74c297$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.787247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a56…fbdcbacked Yes74c288.86$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x872c…40e0backed Yes52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes73c279.45$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0191…93f0backed Yes46c267.51$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes58c260.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes58c258.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No45c250.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No69c243.28$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0423738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No27c215.49$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.312343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ac…90f8backed Yes73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f1…7212backed No25c199.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.95580%4 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick27cpaid+187.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes71c185.48$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.472867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No27c179.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.435339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c172.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8128754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No25c170.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8128133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9083…622ebacked Yes73c163.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc3…64b4backed Yes74c161.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.79366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No25c155.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0816925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No68c155$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.159633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.23262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes72c150$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No26c149.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8539621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734a…4933backed No65c136.15$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.32757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No73c124$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.481838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No25c119.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No51c117.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.81977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick42cpaid+75.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes69c115.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes72c102.38$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7135942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes74c101.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734425%11 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes63c89.01$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2813131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b88…731cbacked Yes76c84.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No27c83.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1211259.8%67 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No26c77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9878927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes74c74.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558357.8%48 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked No27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.074057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes66c73.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.314839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7a…d0d1backed No27c73.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+85.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2f…8346backed Yes75c73.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.99850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes74c70$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes74c70$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.87754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Yes73c69.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.794946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ae…6bc8backed Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No35c67.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.923925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes63c65.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.276222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81d8…2b8dbacked Yes74c63.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.418644.6%83 W · 103 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c6…a111backed Yes73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x968f…422dbacked Yes73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa7…a765backed Yes75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes73c52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9610431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb694…8ef0backed Yes74c51.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.512327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Yes75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510239.2%40 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.518150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd185…f969backed Yes73c47.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.