TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0c6…a111

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST3275%24 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$42.17
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+41.5%+$51.81
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$79.17
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$26.57
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$22.77
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.41
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+34.2%+$34.38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+45.7%+$27.3
Dota 2: Heroic vs Execration (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+41%+$18.03
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$15.62
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.5
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35.39
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$31.38
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$43.63
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Execration (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.9%+$38.4
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.77
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Dota 2: OG vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.2%+$82.25
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$169.24
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$57.89
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$106.57
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.15
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37.8%+$73.44
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$113.56
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+43.4%+$4.75
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$86.15
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+123.9%+$152.54
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+783.8%+$1,087.07
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$51.12
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+61.6%+$149.81
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.03
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+46.9%+$21.73
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$34.29
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$26.4
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.38
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.19
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.55
Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$38.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.7%+$5.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$14.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.