Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf93b137f68cceddbf137e9bedbefa10b0ed0e12653e15c41aff46df538d793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Heroic | 40c | 18,937$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.88 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 54c | 11,048$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.61 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed MOUZ | 68c | 7,918$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.39 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…2db4backed MOUZ | 69c | 6,629$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Heroic | 33c | 6,117$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.82 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 33c | 5,858$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.22 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 32c | 4,729$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.73 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Heroic | 53c | 3,892$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.57 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 57c | 3,871$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked MOUZ | 55c | 3,624$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.8 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Heroic | 33c | 3,164$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.56 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Heroic | 55c | 2,896$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.59 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed MOUZ | 67c | 2,499$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Heroic | 56c | 2,497$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.49 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Heroic | 30c | 2,191$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.2 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,066$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.46 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed MOUZ | 69c | 2,003$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.27 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Heroic | 30c | 1,900$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 1c | 1,791$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,666$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Heroic | 29c | 1,586$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,553$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.2 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Heroic | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.18 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Heroic | 36c | 1,246$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.69 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.25 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed MOUZ | 71c | 1,156$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.61 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,090$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,050$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,049$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.32 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Heroic | 34c | 863.94$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Heroic | 29c | 861.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.19 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked MOUZ | 75c | 791.1$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked MOUZ | 66c | 757.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed MOUZ | 63c | 683.79$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.24 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked MOUZ | 46c | 677.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed MOUZ | 70c | 656.6$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Heroic | 36c | 626.43$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed MOUZ | 71c | 623.9$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Heroic | 35c | 576.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Heroic | 34c | 509.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed MOUZ | 63c | 504.04$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Heroic | 33c | 500.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked MOUZ | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Heroic | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Heroic | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Heroic | 33c | 485.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed MOUZ | 65c | 466.91$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed MOUZ | 65c | 463.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Heroic | 25c | 460$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Heroic | 27c | 451.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Heroic | 7c | 445$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 62c | 435.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.59 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked MOUZ | 67c | 418.34$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked MOUZ | 63c | 400.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked MOUZ | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b0…de80backed Heroic | 19c | 349.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed MOUZ | 62c | 323.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…444fbacked MOUZ | 66c | 305.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Heroic | 33c | 301.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed MOUZ | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ | 66c | 288.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked MOUZ | 69c | 287.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic | 39c | 274.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Heroic | 75c | 268.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed MOUZ | 67c | 264.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 65c | 260$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed MOUZ | 68c | 257.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 70c | 233.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Heroic | 34c | 231.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…356bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 222.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Heroic | 34c | 215.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Heroic | 30c | 213.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heroic | 38c | 213$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Heroic | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…1f2abacked Heroic | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…7367backed MOUZ | 68c | 184.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Heroic | 34c | 179.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…5bfcbacked Heroic | 38c | 178.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked MOUZ | 67c | 175$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked MOUZ | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed MOUZ | 77c | 171.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked MOUZ | 60c | 170$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed MOUZ | 70c | 164.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked MOUZ | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked MOUZ | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Heroic | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Heroic | 8c | 149.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked MOUZ | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MOUZ | 62c | 115.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…3c5fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed MOUZ | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed MOUZ | 69c | 100.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.