TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cab…a8cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
860
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 51 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT35370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 353 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.71
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$16.93
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.88
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$10.2
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.84
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$34.56
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$31.02
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$35.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.53
Showing 25 of 353 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT25070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 250 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.89
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$12.69
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$23.82
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.7
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$107.73
Showing 25 of 250 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT21965.8%144 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 219 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$30.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.69
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$18.92
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$102.16
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.91
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$44.34
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$27.44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$32.46
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$92.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Showing 25 of 219 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$12.96
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$10.13
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$10.4
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$11.97
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.17
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.12
Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO5) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.25
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$98.1
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$174.5
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$139.93
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.17
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$91.42
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$77.65
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$76.17
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.6
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$104.51
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$79.08
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.76
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.4
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.4%+$62.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$70.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.