TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No5c20,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c11,320$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.8933444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c6,809$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.2998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes18c5,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.56825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No9c4,140$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No28c4,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9912055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb52b…db69backed Yes73c3,411$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No23c1,665$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3222852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd49d…fdebbacked Yes18c1,444$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+247.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes17c1,139$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.3730055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Yes74c1,057$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.961050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No5c958$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2992…366dbacked No11c775.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes17c701.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.592544%11 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes17c699.64$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes42c602.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed No17c588.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes47c563.3$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No9c531$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.242948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No9c517.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6e…c807backed Yes75c402.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed No9c395.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No10c372.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.693250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b33…8c31backed No15c365.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes73c356.16$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.161957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x512f…6a7ebacked No19c327.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes17c300.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0311750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes17c249.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes19c245.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.717631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes79c220.9$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.395945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes17c220$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+49%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No26c200.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes74c189.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+541.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes75c183.41$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No8c178.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Yes34c176$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ef…b642backed Yes76c170$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked No13c157.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes16c154$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes16c149.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.93540%14 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked No23c139.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93073.3%22 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes17c123.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.831216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No8c120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes71c119.97$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7911858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked No34c117.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes70c116.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.821464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No23c104.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes17c103$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4913933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes69c101.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.521643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes16c101$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.846955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5653…30cbbacked Yes77c99.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked No23c95.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabaa…f18ebacked Yes75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.338247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Yes73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Yes16c74.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.982751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc2b…b582backed Yes79c69.64$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa9…7585backed No22c69.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes17c64.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.711250%6 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed No28c54.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No20c52.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.633339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No26c42.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1113149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes74c40.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed No31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No63c38.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.181050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e9…439cbacked Yes77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc24…740dbacked Yes73c28.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cf…cc5ebacked Yes78c26.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes79c26.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+135.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16e4…0641backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.975100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3b…ecf0backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes79c25.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.18475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…97f3backed Yes77c24.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab81…249abacked Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf5d…ed2bbacked Yes79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No78c14.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb364…d7a3backed Yes78c13.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+155%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.