Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82c65738d03b6a305647a79b17daa6dfbb68e13985f7f05e3d1ef3c01e3f5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,690$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.83 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 1,970$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 1,336$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.17 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,207$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Yes | 23c | 880$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 26c | 741.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 676.96$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 14c | 534.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…fcb5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 6c | 302.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 151.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 23c | 147.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 22c | 142$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 117$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 100.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes | 23c | 87.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…2ee1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 31.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-28?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.