Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbada5b5969c180156f49091d076f05faf9bc83faa035604f4bc5b453c3590de0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 32,777$20,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,201.17 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 9,079$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.26 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 7,433$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.15 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 5,750$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,644$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.01 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 23c | 4,177$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 4,177$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.37 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 2,508$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.8 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 39c | 2,086$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 38c | 2,000$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 1,038$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.3 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.02 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 63c | 631.96$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 8c | 617.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 33c | 594.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 38c | 580$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 26c | 401.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…80c9backed Yes | 61c | 366.11$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 326.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 61c | 293.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 38c | 284.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 62c | 242$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 8c | 203.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3579…54cdbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Yes | 77c | 194$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 60c | 144$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 40c | 140.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 88.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 59c | 80.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 52c | 49.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…2ee1backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed No | 68c | 46.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Yes | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…15d9backed Yes | 61c | 42.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 41c | 35.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 65c | 34.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…4fc4backed Yes | 49c | 30.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed No | 68c | 25.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…921cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 23.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 68c | 20.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 61c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 62c | 18.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 62c | 16.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-12-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.