TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa852…d55d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST6038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$448.55
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.18
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.7
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+151.1%+$210.65
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.12
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.66
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.17
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$241.07
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$73.61
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.79
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.33
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.69
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.5%+$61.41
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64%+$77.53
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+105.6%+$22.37
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.2%+$14.43
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.26
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+407.4%+$51.31
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.6%+$6.79
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.13
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.2%+$27.6
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.5%+$22.67
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.7%+$19.32
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+160.7%+$53.86
Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.04
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.8%+$40.04
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$33.02
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.97
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.17
Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.87
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.57
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+173%+$133.12
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54.5
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+72.9%+$10.09
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+123.3%+$51.29
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64.34
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120.16
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.07
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+105.2%+$50.2
Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$12.26
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$118.14
Will Mozambique vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.7%+$3.91
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.55
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.74
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.63
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+94.1%+$11.17
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.4%+$4.28
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$192.15
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.77
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+177.8%+$19.56
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+131.9%+$35.34
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$68.48
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25.1%+$26.77
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$107.96
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$157.23
Will Algeria vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48.88
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+71.7%+$7.56
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66.26
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.99
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.9%+$28.75
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.87
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25.5%+$9.85
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$79.01
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+358.9%+$140.22
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46.6
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$144.76
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+124%+$87.97
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+60.2%+$45.28
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.37
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.2%+$176.35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$21.81
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.4%+$3.38
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.21
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.8%+$7.74
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Hellas Verona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.55
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah Utes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.91
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+136.1%+$34.79
Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+35.9%+$8.93
Drexel Dragons vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$58.86
San Francisco Dons vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.08
Pacific Tigers vs. San Diego Toreros: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+102.5%+$13.33
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.5%+$3.14
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. UCF Knightsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.94
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+133.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$27.34
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16.41
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.68
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$32.82
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 6 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+129.4%+$27.89
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.22
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$135.31
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+169.5%+$37.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Toulouse FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.23
Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+60.6%+$23.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.