La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67b27d42d902788741a0c4bccdb4d8e33bb5e0f8b3618b8a03f44ff7101313d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 22c | 2,927$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…4f91backed Yes | 10c | 1,604$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 8c | 1,600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 22c | 1,411$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.4 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 1,213$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed Yes | 22c | 1,173$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 8c | 1,112$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 1,080$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 22c | 1,075$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 22c | 884.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 77c | 649.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 9c | 575$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 567.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked No | 76c | 499.93$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…0610backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 4c | 419$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 6c | 407.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…2266backed Yes | 40c | 377.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 76c | 296.11$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 4c | 269.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5cc3backed Yes | 14c | 267.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed No | 78c | 247$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 9c | 231.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 74c | 231.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccb…a193backed No | 78c | 221.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6642…31cdbacked Yes | 7c | 214.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Yes | 19c | 208.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 135 | 26.7%36 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 78c | 188$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 22c | 168.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed No | 77c | 155.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 80c | 152.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 77c | 138.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 23c | 132.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 78c | 123$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 117$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 23c | 103.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…c7e6backed Yes | 13c | 91.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…fb57backed Yes | 15c | 91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 65c | 84.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed No | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 15c | 68.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…869fbacked Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 76c | 57.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 49.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Yes | 24c | 46.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.