TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2588…1cfd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$619.91
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$697.91
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,049Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+89.5%+$7,203.82
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+60%+$374.98
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$67.19
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,019.84
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,209.9
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.53
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$568
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$365
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$356.3
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.26
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$183.52
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$560
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62.16
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$13.82
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$308.15
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$419.96
Will Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$240
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$6.63
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$155
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90.2
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$119.7
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$98.8
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$114.8
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$90.29
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$100.7
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$100.7
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$127.6
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$31.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Cameron Norrie vs Hugo Gastonbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.4
ASB Classic: Francisco Comesana vs Valentin Royerbacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+127.2%+$440.76
ASB Classic: Adrian Mannarino vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.66
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$61.5
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$180.8
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$210
ASB Classic: Petra Marcinko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$105.68
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,021.42
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,759Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+413.3%+$15,532.67
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,417.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$772.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$280.95
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$538.61
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$130.72
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,166
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$1,021.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,299Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$450.62
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,923Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$2,934.06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,187.78
US x Iran ceasefire before July? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$274.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+123.2%+$276
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$106
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Pepperdine Waves vs. San Diego Toreros: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$129.8
Spread: Idaho Vandals (-3.5)backed Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$90.73
UNCG Spartans vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$33.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$338.14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$35
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$118.81
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$201.38
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$91
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$92.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+146.9%+$892.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-62.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.63
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$182.5
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Cameroon vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$60
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+68.1%+$83.94
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$95.06
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$183.2
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$89.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-73.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$91.5
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$89.6
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$67.2
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$91.8
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$92.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+117.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$140.29
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$90.26
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$88.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+215.8%+$2,049.92
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,511Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$788.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$172.8
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$90.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+181.7%+$129
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.