NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a2d1bd2e6534ec9929e65f18ce9041b943abb225e1a4bcfc3409409f37f946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Hornets, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 47c | 24,962$11,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,194.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Hornets | 50c | 14,307$7,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,153.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Hornets | 54c | 12,101$6,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,535.34 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Pacers | 50c | 9,506$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Pacers | 50c | 8,043$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 53c | 7,882$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 47c | 5,871$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 55c | 5,287$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.55 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets | 56c | 5,009$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Pacers | 50c | 4,583$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hornets | 51c | 4,192$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.68 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Hornets | 50c | 4,104$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Pacers | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Pacers | 50c | 4,016$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 50c | 3,998$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.12 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Hornets | 50c | 3,925$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 45c | 3,717$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.15 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 53c | 2,638$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Hornets | 50c | 2,416$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pacers | 50c | 2,410$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.51 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 55c | 2,360$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Pacers | 45c | 1,982$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.98 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Hornets | 54c | 1,862$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.4 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Hornets | 55c | 1,613$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.15 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Hornets | 53c | 1,218$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.59 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pacers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Hornets | 53c | 985.67$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.04 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 39c | 943.63$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pacers | 49c | 910.65$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.43 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Pacers | 46c | 883$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.82 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hornets | 43c | 881.74$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.26 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 45c | 880.79$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Hornets | 55c | 836.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 61c | 809$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.38 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Hornets | 56c | 678.44$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.93 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…390abacked Pacers | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Pacers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Pacers | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pacers | 49c | 365.31$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.31 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…837ebacked Pacers | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…2b9bbacked Hornets | 56c | 294.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 47c | 277.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Hornets | 50c | 270.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Hornets | 55c | 266.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 51c | 264.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pacers | 52c | 244.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets | 27c | 241.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Pacers | 44c | 205$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Pacers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pacers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…10fdbacked Hornets | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 47c | 199.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets | 51c | 195.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Hornets | 25c | 187.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Hornets | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 54c | 170.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pacers | 64c | 152$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pacers | 44c | 136.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed Pacers | 47c | 136$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Hornets | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Hornets | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Hornets | 42c | 128.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…e0fdbacked Hornets | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Pacers | 46c | 121.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Pacers | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f6…d818backed Hornets | 56c | 116.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacers | 54c | 115.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pacers | 47c | 111.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Hornets | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…a291backed Hornets | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Pacers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Hornets | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Hornets | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d774backed Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Pacers | 76c | 98.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Hornets | 45c | 98.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Hornets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Hornets | 54c | 94.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Hornets | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Hornets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hornets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Hornets | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets | 43c | 83.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Hornets | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Hornets | 51c | 79.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Hornets | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Hornets | 49c | 72.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Hornets | 52c | 72.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Pacers | 47c | 65.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pacers | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets | 51c | 63.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets | 55c | 61.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Pacers | 50c | 60.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Pacers | 46c | 60.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Hornets | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Pacers won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists Over 7.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. HornetsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.