NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a362933ce5fcbf6bfd3d599ddfd5dddd73ab31359ad45c230165b1caa091e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 49c | 102,167$49,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,180.54 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 47,345$24,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,619.39 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Under | 49c | 16,500$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…da08backed Over | 51c | 16,500$8,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 14,468$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,378.57 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 12,398$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,303.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 10,250$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 47c | 9,480$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.51 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 7,853$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 6,030$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 4,101$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,815$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 2,044$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.42 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 52c | 2,011$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.72 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,920$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.86 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 52c | 1,613$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Under | 48c | 1,465$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.58 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,435$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,411$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 1,204$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.08 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 974.08$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.78 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 767$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 671.27$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.35 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 53c | 480.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Over | 53c | 446.42$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 48c | 434.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 69c | 410$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.35 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 251$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 53c | 234.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 31c | 210.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953b…eb20backed Under | 47c | 165.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 48c | 115.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 115.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 76.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 18c | 70.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 39c | 55.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed Under | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…fccbbacked Under | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…c123backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…d9f6backed Under | 48c | 29.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 22.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Pacers won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists Over 7.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. HornetsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.